It is no coincidence Orbán is targeting the youth and Magyar the elderly

In a survey conducted in January, Medián asked respondents about their view of the main campaign messages of the two biggest parties – Fidesz and Tisza –, HVG reports. At a meeting of the Digital Civic Circles in Miskolc on Saturday, Prime Minister Viktor Orbán asked parents to speak with their children because he had heard that young people do not support his party, Fidesz. Péter Magyar, the leader of the strongest opposition party, Tisza, on the other hand, has been encouraging young people to convince their parents and grandparents to vote for Tisza for the sake of their own future.

According to the demographic breakdown of the survey, this is no coincidence. The picture is as follows: among the total population, the ratio is 40-30 in favour of the Tisza, but the proportion of those who are undecided is very high, 27 percent. It is no coincidence that Fidesz is addressing the older generation,

as Fidesz's support increases in direct proportion to the age of voters,

and they are already taking the lead among 50-64 year olds (39-31), but the real landslide begins among those over 65, where twice as many support Orbán as Magyar (49-24). Tisza's advantage is evident among young people, with hardly any Fidesz supporters among those under 30 (67-12 for Tisza), but even among those aged 30-39, Magyar's advantage is convincing at 59-18.

According to the breakdown by education level, the more educated someone is, the more likely they are to vote for Tisza, while Fidesz leads 56-18 among those with elementary education, and Tisza leads 53-25 among those with a higher education.

Looking at the results by type of residence, we see that the smaller the town or village, the bigger the Fidesz camp, while at the city level it declines, but in the bigger villages it increases again, and is neck and neck with Tisza (39-37 for Fidesz). The reason for this is that compared to the uncertain voters in "other towns" (39), there are far fewer uncertain voters in bigger villages (24).

The HVG article also discusses what voters fear most, what they think about the foreign policy situation, Ukraine, and the tax package the governing parties claim is the Tisza Party's austerity plan. (Tisza has denied any involvement with the 600-page document, experts have said there are significant signs of it being at least partly AI-generated, and a first instance judgement of the court ruled that the document cannot be connected to the Tisza Party.)

The survey was conducted between January 7 and 13 by the Medián Public Opinion and Market Research Institute, using a representative national sample of 1,000 people interviewed by telephone. Minor distortions in the sample were corrected using mathematical procedures, known as weighting, based on data from the Hungarian Central Statistical Office (KSH), so that the sample accurately reflects the composition of the voting-age population by type of residence, gender, age, and educational background. The margin of error for the published data is a maximum of ±3.5 percent, depending on the distribution of responses in the total sample.